Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 60.510466 68.741623 77.223322 86.583270 96.590569 106.939181 118.419407
2025-03-23 48.917382 60.738460 73.526775 88.253916 104.616340 122.119543 142.142057
2025-03-30 42.128405 55.965616 71.481859 89.891423 110.877032 133.818927 160.566919
2025-04-06 35.743513 50.715151 68.085312 89.261570 113.951643 141.448252 174.017779
2025-04-13 29.827238 45.292817 63.860858 87.098051 114.767692 146.106317 183.752857
2025-04-20 27.527094 44.029571 64.356503 90.280741 121.610527 157.508575 201.044719
2025-04-27 25.039710 42.240302 63.978881 92.219433 126.833699 166.928473 215.983967
2025-05-04 21.835277 39.175534 61.738125 91.648601 128.869331 172.480297 226.328612
2025-05-11 18.926029 36.219771 59.401977 90.755737 130.348085 177.245711 235.651294
2025-05-18 16.952239 34.393931 58.398207 91.426182 133.648302 184.112772 247.402269
2025-05-25 14.807735 32.095473 56.590193 90.919324 135.375050 189.006320 256.751817
2025-06-01 13.167218 30.397258 55.480561 91.224343 138.044390 194.989350 267.368254
2025-06-08 11.238163 28.054026 53.348267 90.101067 138.878140 198.751486 275.382679
2025-06-15 10.214551 27.105239 53.152359 91.547061 142.989727 206.552001 288.306063
2025-06-22 9.362923 26.356390 53.185484 93.260149 147.418726 214.733542 301.695054
2025-06-29 8.037296 24.589044 51.578045 92.610471 148.694438 218.939140 310.199973
2025-07-06 6.535548 22.260203 48.950911 90.399373 147.809912 220.357997 315.224569
2025-07-13 6.284214 22.383742 50.158831 93.653020 154.208341 230.991827 331.645203
2025-07-20 5.810558 21.985604 50.498205 95.634535 158.894005 239.456656 345.396569
2025-07-27 4.930999 20.580169 49.117405 95.051135 160.076385 243.430170 353.554599
2025-08-03 4.102363 19.130211 47.563746 94.138555 160.756831 246.723716 360.840379
2025-08-10 3.599177 18.361844 47.108583 94.823813 163.600675 252.790069 371.596202
2025-08-17 2.992336 17.197697 45.891862 94.305760 164.746867 256.637338 379.552105